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360° Risk Analytics

Only Digital Risk provides end-to-end, comprehensive solutions that uniquely meet your needs. We integrate next-generation Predictive Modeling Analytics with expert Forensic Loan Review to pinpoint sources of fraud and error make recommendations consistent with your company’s business rules.

Predictive Modeling Tools

Industry Leading Algorithms. Our proprietary data analysis algorithms are second-to-none when it comes to assessing loan quality. They allow us to cross-reference and to verify credit, income and collateral information. These sophisticated algorithms project loan defaults and losses more accurately than prior systems. Moreover, they take a qualitative view of such items as income and collateral overstatements. Finally, since market conditions, competition, and regulations are always changing, we constantly update our algorithms.

Multiple Data Sources Produce Superior Verifications. Digital Risk goes beyond the conventional data sources used to verify credit income and collateral. We access special public and private credit, government and marketing databases to acquire qualitative and quantitative information with which to verify representations and warranties. For instance, we may look at utility and telecom accounts; mortgage loans, property occupancy, ownership, titles and liens; IRS and Social Security data; Federal Watch lists (e.g., OFAC and FBI) death master lists from hospitals, insurance carriers and funeral homes in order to provide more precise verifications. Our objective is to verify information, especially when inconsistencies appear.

Business Rule Enabled Decision Support. Digital Risk customizes decision support management solutions to reflect each client’s unique business rules, workflow and risk tolerance levels. The result is easy-to-read, action-oriented reports with evidence to support the conclusion. Using your firm’s definitions as to what constitutes non-performing mortgage assets (e.g., Early Payment Default (EPD), “delinquency” and “default.”). Digital Risk’s scorecards deliver results-oriented decisions, often in real time, for immediate actions.

Our proprietary Predictive Modeling Tools include PortfolioReview and RiskIQ.

RiskIQ is a powerful, comprehensive loan level due diligence tool that analyzes all facets of even the most complex loans, analyzing factors related to the loan’s credit, income, collateral and participants to determine whether the transaction is sound or likely to result in a costly default. It provides an optional feature for enhanced identity verification through escalation to the Social Security Administration’s databases, as well as a direct link to the IRS to facilitate fast and reliable income verification. It can be tailored to offer both Correspondent and Retail loan application data verification.

RiskIQ modules include:

  • IdentityIQ
  • IncomeIQ
  • PropertyIQ
  • RiskAnalytics

PortfolioReview is a set of decision support tools that use predictive modeling algorithms to analyze loan pool data from a wide variety of sources to recommend “intelligent” decisions based on clients’ business rules to mitigate risk in the mortgage industry. It allows MBS security firms, portfolio traders and investors to determine a loan’s “right price,” based on projected future performance. As a comprehensive decision support solution, it also enables investment banks to design proper credit enhancement and support structure of their MBS based on projected loan performance.

PortfolioReview consists of a real-time data gateway, a sophisticated business rules engine, and an artificial intelligence engine that self-learns from its experience with fraud patterns. It uses proprietary algorithms to predict income yield. It also enhances negative convexity algorithms with loan specific default rate projections to predict yields since, in markets of increasing interest rates, prepayment rates slow down.

Each client’s tailored algorithms generate a custom Loan Risk Scorecard, which predicts each loan’s default probability based on quantifying loan exposures, borrower’s stability factors, the client’s business rules, seller’s representations and warranties and risk-tolerance levels. Data from traditional data sources and special public and private databases are comprehensively analyzed to measure risk and identify potential misrepresentations. Having a reliable risk score allows Trading Desks to properly price the loan and better select due diligence samples.

As a part of the verification process, PortfolioReview validates loan data at the time of origination/loan acquisition, and then compares it to currently validated data. Collateral validations include verification of current value and value at origination, and an estimate of the collateral value exposure. For example, was the value decrease a function of misrepresentation at origination, a decrease of market conditions, or an error by non-qualified appraisal? Owner verification focuses on current occupancy and at origination, and checking the validity of borrower’s phone numbers, addresses, undisclosed properties, etc. For instance, high rates of property acquisitions may suggest fraud, while high debt-to-income ratios indicate greater probability of payment defaults. Verification of income representations involve comparisons with leading government and industry compensation data, offering the most accurate salary ranges available per borrower occupation and residence data.

Finally, additional analyses are performed concerning all parties involved in a loan process. For instance, to uncover evidence of collusions by originators, realtors, appraisers, loan officers or settlement agents, PortfolioReview makes comparisons between their performance and benchmarks, and their appearance on “Watch Lists.”

Clients can purchase PortfolioReview’s Modules individually or as a whole. They include:

  • Triage PortfolioReview
  • Trading Desk PortfolioReview
  • PortfolioMonitor.

PortfolioReview’s decision support reports are accessible on a real-time basis through a web portal, or can be integrated directly into client LOS and underwriting systems. Reports are available in HTML, Excel, PDF and XML formats – to help you generate more loans, with less risk.

Forensic Loan Reviews

At the granular level, there is no substitute for Digital Risk’s forensic review services. Our team of expert underwriters is armed with powerful system tools and years of fraud prevention and underwriting experience. Our due diligence services build upon the findings of our PortfolioReview risk analysis reports to pinpoint the major exposure areas. Some of the key services offered:

  • Seller loan qualification and submission
  • Loan eligibility, pricing and locking
  • Credit underwriting and regulatory compliance reviews
  • Property valuation services and fraud reviews
  • Quality control
  • Custodial file creation & management
  • Servicing data collection and file upload
  • Servicing transfer and custodial coordination
  • Tracking and trending analysis of sellers
  • Imaging